Will we start a little later if the wind is west at 9am thursday morning? Otherwise the race is a reach and not a downwinder...

gebi

That's what makes this race unique - half way reach, half way downwind tack...

The forecast is starting to take a dump on us... :(

Chris,

What forecasts are you all using over there? It seems as though both windguru and noaa are still good. While I would prefer to do it on a weekend, I guess that we have to get it while the getting good. Windguru is showing something for Tuesday of next week also, but this is a long way out. If we can get 15 to 20, it's all good to me.

When will you all make the final call so that we can make arrangements? Thanks.

Kent

Right now we are in a holding pattern. The forecast is still good with most models. We will look at it again at the 4:30 update and know more.
Luckily it seems it will be a West to WNW wind which is a faster and easier run than a NW or NNW.

AS OF 12:30 PM Tuesday

NOAA:
Thursday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1pm. Partly cloudy, with a high near 74. West wind between 10 and 17 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph

Ikitesurf:
showing 19 knots from the West

Wunderground
Thursday
West winds 15 to 20 knots...shifting to the northwest. Seas 5 to 7 feet

i was looking at weatherunderground.com and imightsurf.com. i guess we need to look at tonights latest forecast before making a no go decision.

blah..
grrr..

of all the days of the month.. Thursday is the one single mother f'in day I dont think I can make it....

i have to be at work by 3:30 am.. escaping early is not looking possible.

-pissed at mother nature-

bryan

sorry, but this is what i saw on wunder and here is a great link to see the winds for 7 days:

http://polar.ncep.noaa.gov/waves/lat...ecg.anim.3.gif

shows it moving through fast

wunder:

Wednesday Night

Southwest winds around 15 knots. Bay waves 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers in the evening then showers likely with a slight chance of thunderstorms after midnight.
Thursday

West winds around 10 knots...becoming northwest in the afternoon. Bay waves 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning.

Thursday Night
Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop.

The latest update contained the following: I haven't seen it waiver yet, but... NW at 20 looks good. I wonder why all of the contrasting forecasts.

Kent

Forecast as of 4:03 PM EST on November 14, 2006
Englewood To Tarpon Springs Out 20 Nm-
Englewood To Tarpon Springs Out 20 To 60 Nm-
Tonight
Winds becoming southeast winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Wednesday
South winds increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet building to 4 to 6 feet in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters becoming choppy.
Wednesday Night
Southwest winds 20 to 25 knots becoming west after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 feet building to 6 to 8 feet after midnight. Bay and inland waters choppy. Showers and thunderstorms becoming likely after midnight.
Thursday
Northwest winds around 20 knots. Seas 6 to 9 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning.
Thursday Night
North winds around 15 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet subsiding to 5 to 7 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Friday
North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet subsiding to 3 to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Friday Night
North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Saturday And Sunday
Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.

cool link Paul.. Thanks.